Updated: Jan 25, 2021
Short and sweet, the best four teams do battle Sunday for the right to represent their respective conferences in Super Bowl LV. You could not go wrong with any potential matchup. The Bucs are seeking to become the first team to play the big game in its own stadium, Buffalo is seeking its first appearance in 27 years and for the second consecutive year the prospect of a Chiefs/Packers Super Bowl I rematch beckons. It is a snowy morning in Green Bay, snow showers are expected to continue until around kickoff. Other than that weather should not have much impact on either the AFC or NFC title games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) v. Green Bay Packers (o/u 53) - After watching the Packers to full throttle in the Divisional Round while the Buccaneers and Saints slogged it out in New Orleans, I do not expect a repeat of Tampa's 38-10 Week 6 win. This is Aaron Rodgers fifth conference championship game, but his first at home, this seems like a must-win for the resume. For Tom Brady it is his 14th title game appearance with a remarkable 9-4 record. More concerning is Brady's best work through the years has been in cold, snowy and adverse conditions. I will continue to roll with Green Bay to win and cover, but will also go with the under, somewhere in the lines of 28-17. ATS: loss O/U: loss
Buffalo Bills (+3) v. Kansas City Chiefs (o/u 55) - Patrick Mahomes has been cleared to play, and this line surprisingly has not swayed much during the week. Remember, Mahomes is also dealing with a foot injury, his running ability will be hampered and one injury could lead to other injuries. That said, if Mahomes is close to 100 percent and makes it through the game in one piece, I will go with KC to cover and advance. The over/under has steadily rose during the week, to 50.5 to 54.5, so will go with the under. Divisional Round Picks: ATS 2-2, O/U 3-1, 5-3 overall Playoffs: ATS 4-6, O/U 6-4, 10-10 overall