The end of Daylight Savings Time always marks the time where the NFL season gets serious. As the weather gets cold, the stakes get higher and contenders separate from the pretenders. Thanks to a late rally in Week 8 I pulled my record to an even .500 for the season. I expect that percentage to improve now that its November and Big Boy Football time. Last Week: 8-7, Locks 2-3
Season 60-60-2, Locks 16-23-1
Cleveland +2.5 @ Cincinnati - The Bengals and their worst to first aspirations got a jolt last Sunday with a loss at the New York Jets. All four teams remain in AFC North contention and I look for the Browns to tighten the screws even more in the division. Miami -6.5 v. Houston - The Dolphins are going nowhere fast but any team getting less than a touchdown at home to Houston. The Lions may be 0-8 but the Texans are by far the worst team in the league. Minnesota +5.5 @ Baltimore - I seem to pick against the Ravens each week, but the Vikings come into this week more desperate and the team seems to do its best work on the road. Expect a field goal game that goes to the wire. Green Bay +7 @ Kansas City - Ignore the outdated KC -1 pick I made above, the Chiefs opened at -3 but the spread went down two points after KC's unimpressive win over the New York Giants. The line obviously swung back six points in response to Aaron Rodgers Covid absence. The Chiefs wound up a 10-point favorite against the Giants, meaning they would likely be favored by nine had they beat New York more impressively. So the current line says that the Jordan Love-led Packers are only 1-3 points better than the Giants. Using that logic I will go with Green Bay and the points.
San Francisco PICK v. Arizona - I close with an old fashion pick 'em game. The Cardinals seemed to be cruising towards s No. 1 seed just a week ago when in reality the Rams are the strongest team in the NFC West. The 49ers will also have something to say about the division and the No. 6 and No. 7 playoff seeds will be wide open.