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Last four games of the season, finally. 64 regular season contests remain, if all goes well. Need an impressive number? My locks are 6-4 over the past two weeks, my non-locks are 3-16. That means a model betting against my non locks over the past two weeks has clicked at a 84 percent clip. How is that for a statistical model:) New England @ LA Rams - Start off strong with a lock, after obliterating the Chargers 45-0 four days earlier the Pats take aim at the Rams. Bet against Belichick in December at your own peril. Houston @ Chicago - Can Matt Nagy run the table and finish 5-11? It would help if the Bears really want to draft another quarterback. Dallas @ Cincinnati - Andy Dalton revenge game? He hasn't exacted revenge on anyone else in his time as Cowboys QB. Kansas City @ Miami - Could this be a Chiefs road bump? Dolphins will make this interesting for a while. Arizona @ NY Giants - Cardinals season has taken a left turn fast, now another trip out east to face a Giants team that has won five of its last seven. Minnesota @ Tampa Bay - Vikings play their best on the road, Justin Jefferson is a stud and Brady and Arians bickering.

Denver @ Carolina - Christian McCaffrey might miss another game, this time against his dad's old team. Might as well shut it down for the year. Tennessee @ Jacksonville - The Titans performance has been all open the map lately, loo for them to bounce back with a significant win in Jacksonville. Indianapolis @ Las Vegas - As horrible as the Raiders have been the past two weeks, look for them to bounce back at home over a Colts team due for a letdown. NY Jets @ Seattle - Jets lost last game on a last play psy op and the team cut its NFL Man of the Year candidate. I could go either way with this, 13.5 a lot for Seattle to cover. Green Bay @ Detroit - Have looked foolish lately not picking the GBP to cover, Packers barely escaped with win in Detroit last year, but have to go with them here. New Orleans @ Philadelphia - Have also looked bad going against Saints lately, but will go to the well one more time. Jaylen Hurts keeps Eagles in the game at home. Atlanta @ LA Chargers - Falcons at least fighting for interim coach Raheem Morris while Chargers have quit on Anthony Lynn. Easy call. Washington @ San Francisco - Niners have been hard hit by attrition and other factors worse than anyone in league, look for another win out of Ron Rivera's club. Pittsburgh @ Buffalo - Spread went from BUF +1.5 to -2.5 after Bills convincing Monday night win coupled with Steelers loss. Pittsburgh may be trending downward. Baltimore @ Cleveland - Yes, at some point I have to believe in the Browns, although this game more do or die for Ravens. LOCKS: New England @ LA Rams, Houston @ Chicago, Minnesota @ Tampa Bay, Denver @ Carolina, Atlanta @ LA Chargers

Overall Record: Last Week 6-8, Season 85-95-3 Locks Last Week 4-1, Season 38-26-1


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