Every dog has its day, so time to change some luck and pick some underdogs this week... Arizona @ Seattle - After back to back losses on the road, expect the Seahawks to punch back and avenge an earlier overtime loss to the Cards. Philadelphia @ Cleveland - How many 6-3 teams see themselves this far out of contention? The Browns are currently ninth in the AFC and need to somehow get past Baltimore in the divisional standings. Even if the NFL expands the playoff field to eight teams per conference, Cleveland may be on the outside looking in. Atlanta @ New Orleans - Falcons beginning their annual late season charge long after being eliminated from playoff contention. Cincinnati @ Washington - I look at the quarterbacks, Joe Burrow is a shiny new ride fresh off the showroom floor, Alex Smith is the 180,000 mile vehicle in the used lot that would not pass CARFAX inspection. Detroit @ Carolina - With both QB's questionable, this game has been taken off the board. Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville - Feel good about Jags covering the number again after playing Green Bay close. Tennessee @ Baltimore - Crucial game for both teams, Tennessee dominated the playoff meeting last year. Ravens likely win but +6.5 a lot in game where scoring will be at a premium. New England @ Houston - Not buying Patriots back in the hunt talk, although Texans have not beaten anyone outside of Jacksonville all year. Strange things happen in the league. Miami @ Denver - Picking the Dolphins has worked much better than picking Denver lately. NY Jets @ LA Chargers - Chargers, Chiefs and Steelers only teams to have been within seven points of winning every game this year. Jets hang around in an ugly-ish 24-17 type affair. Green Bay @ Indianapolis - The GBP somehow has the current No. 1 NFC seed and have favorable schedule going forward. Blue Horseshoe needs this game more and win convincingly. Dallas @ Minnesota - The Vikings are definitely in the hunt, they have spent the last fortnight beating the Black Friday crowd and stocking up at Cabela's. Kansas City @ Las Vegas - The Raiders remain their own superspreader even and Andy Reid not happy about bus driver's victory lap. Revenge gets served. LA Rams @ Tampa Bay - Fun fact, Rams have twice beaten Tampa in NFC Championship games, perhaps they meet again this postseason. This may be another night Tom Brady feels his age. LOCKS: Seattle v. Arizona, Tennessee @ Baltimore, Indianapolis v. Green Bay, Kansas City @ Las Vegas, LA Rams @ Tampa Bay Overall Record: Last Week 5-7-2, Season 70-68-3 Locks: Last Week 2-2-1, Season 28-21-1